In just 7 years, the Point-of-Care market segment
(excluding glucose testing) has grown from $810 million
in sales to an estimated $3.3 billion in 2007.
Conservative estimates are for segment growth at CAGR of
8% for the five year period of 2005 to 2010, with
estimated sales of $4.2 billion in 2010.
Our addressable market for direct-to-doctor
distribution sales volume within the POC (Professional)
segment is approximately $3.7 billion, as estimated by
Kalorama.
Competitors are already acknowledging the
potential disruption to their business
model.
Established diagnostic distributors and centralized
laboratories stand to lose significant amounts of
revenue - in direct proportion to the revenue potential
of HPD and our physician customers - as the doctors
increasingly acquire rapid diagnostic tests for
immediate, in-office diagnoses. This exact concern is
stated in the 10k filing of one of the largest
diagnostic test manufacturers:
"…Advances in technology may lead to the
development of more cost-effective tests that can
be performed outside of a commercial clinical
laboratory such as (1) point-of-care tests that
can be performed by physicians in their offices;
(2) esoteric tests that can be performed by
hospitals in their own laboratories; and (3) home
testing that can be carried out without requiring
the services of clinical laboratories. Development
of such technology and its use by our customers
and patients would reduce the demand for our
laboratory testing services and negatively impact
our net revenues…"
- Quest Diagnostics 10k Risk
Disclosure, 2/28/06, p. 28
Patient, doctor, and market trends all point
in the same direction.
Patients
U.S. baby boomer generation approaching retirement
and global aging characteristics similarly increasing
demand for health diagnostics
Patient demand for simplifying the current
diagnostic process that takes too much time and requires too
many steps
Better informed patients due to services such as
WebMD®
Doctors
Increasing need to improve net incomes given the
squeeze on reimbursements from payors.
Mission focus to provide better patient outcomes
supported by faster diagnoses and time to treatment
Productivity focus to improve patient management
techniques
Markets
Increasing recognition by consumers, doctors and
payers of the value of point-of-care diagnostics as a
means to improve healthcare and patient outcomes while
reducing the overall cost through early detection and
treatment.
Emerging use of rapid in-vitro diagnostic tests
with home care nurse services on a worldwide basis.
Emerging use of infectious disease rapid in-vitro
diagnostic tests in blood banks, drug abuse rehab
centers, and sexually transmitted disease clinics
R&D in the area of new POC diagnostics that
will continue to bring new, more sophisticated and
specialized "lab quality" diagnostic tests to
point-of-care with a clear need for commercialization
expertise in the U.S. market.