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In just 7 years, the Point-of-Care market segment (excluding glucose testing) has grown from $810 million in sales to an estimated $3.3 billion in 2007. Conservative estimates are for segment growth at CAGR of 8% for the five year period of 2005 to 2010, with estimated sales of $4.2 billion in 2010.

Our addressable market for direct-to-doctor distribution sales volume within the POC (Professional) segment is approximately $3.7 billion, as estimated by Kalorama.

Competitors are already acknowledging the potential disruption to their business model.

Established diagnostic distributors and centralized laboratories stand to lose significant amounts of revenue - in direct proportion to the revenue potential of HPD and our physician customers - as the doctors increasingly acquire rapid diagnostic tests for immediate, in-office diagnoses. This exact concern is stated in the 10k filing of one of the largest diagnostic test manufacturers:

"…Advances in technology may lead to the development of more cost-effective tests that can be performed outside of a commercial clinical laboratory such as (1) point-of-care tests that can be performed by physicians in their offices; (2) esoteric tests that can be performed by hospitals in their own laboratories; and (3) home testing that can be carried out without requiring the services of clinical laboratories. Development of such technology and its use by our customers and patients would reduce the demand for our laboratory testing services and negatively impact our net revenues…"

- Quest Diagnostics 10k Risk Disclosure, 2/28/06, p. 28

Patient, doctor, and market trends all point in the same direction.

Patients

  • U.S. baby boomer generation approaching retirement and global aging characteristics similarly increasing demand for health diagnostics
  • Patient demand for simplifying the current diagnostic process that takes too much time and requires too many steps
  • Better informed patients due to services such as WebMD®

Doctors

  • Increasing need to improve net incomes given the squeeze on reimbursements from payors.
  • Mission focus to provide better patient outcomes supported by faster diagnoses and time to treatment
  • Productivity focus to improve patient management techniques

Markets

  • Increasing recognition by consumers, doctors and payers of the value of point-of-care diagnostics as a means to improve healthcare and patient outcomes while reducing the overall cost through early detection and treatment.
  • Emerging use of rapid in-vitro diagnostic tests with home care nurse services on a worldwide basis.
  • Emerging use of infectious disease rapid in-vitro diagnostic tests in blood banks, drug abuse rehab centers, and sexually transmitted disease clinics
  • R&D in the area of new POC diagnostics that will continue to bring new, more sophisticated and specialized "lab quality" diagnostic tests to point-of-care with a clear need for commercialization expertise in the U.S. market.
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